+++ YouGov Whisper Number : 26% Tory Lead +++
Did Guido mention before that we told you so?
John Hutton didn't mince his words when he gave Nick Robinson his prediction. He was right.
He made this forecast (video here) to a Question Time audience. He got it wrong, it took five months.
They are going to miss three times election winning Blair when he is gone. Wait and see...
26 June 2007
UPDATE : It occurs to Guido that Michael Portillo may now have to revise his opinion. So Brillo, tonight on the This Week show, ask Polly if he still thinks, as he did only two months ago, that "Brown will win the election".
80 comments:
Thiiiiings can only get betttter
Buh Bye Labour!
Labour's knives will be out for useless, lying, floundering Brown after they are smashed into oblivion in the Crewe and Natwich byelection.
Rejoice, Rejoice!!!!
I simply don't accept that there's been any opinion poll at all, and if there has been a poll it has clearly been just more bad news for David Cameron, and as if further evidence was needed, clearly Gordon is the best man for the job and we're all 110% behind him and I simply don't accept any suggestion that Ken is dong anything other than a fine job at the GLC......
Glorious glorious news!
Check out ToryBear a new blog that will be officially launching soon but already live!
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Feedback would be most appreciated!
TB
Could snotty lose his seat?
He has killed his beloved party! a glass of the finest malt to celebrate I think.
Still listening, Gorgon? Then hear this - fuck off back to Kirkcaldistan you one-eyed freak.
Ho ho, watch the Labour infighting accelerate, there is no way the belaboured bogey-eater Brown can keep the party 'on message'. I bet Cherie Blair can't smile wide enough :)
Con 49
Lab 23
LD 17
Not sure how this could be better.
Gordon isn't interested in opinion polls, and in fact doesn't even look at them. He is only interested in real votes in real ballot boxes.
Oops!
Oh yes, I feel your pain Gordon. Your tears sustain me...
Another two years of being the most loathed government in living memory (or ever?) will ensure NuLab wipe out at the next election, possibly never to regain power.
Bloody fantastic!
Well, I think it's fair to say that the range of comments above reflect the deep groundswell of genuine affection for Gordon at grass roots level and it'll come as no surprise to the Tories nor to Nick Clegg that they still have an insurmountable challenge to fae and I think the weeks and months ahead will show all the more clearly just how valued Gordon's leadership is across the country...
I just cant believe it - but its on ConservativeHome too!!
The country has finally woken up - 55% next week?
So what...
Militwat got it half right - people may be saying that they can't stand Gordon Brown, but I've never heard anybody saying it would be great to have that Blair back.
And there's no call for Miliband that I've ever heard of at all.
I canna understand it.
Gordon wakes up every morning and says to Sarah "I feel the prols fookin pain"
Why aren't the prols comforted by Gordon bearing all their troubles on his shoulders?
Is there a 24 hour Carphone Warehouse around here?
Bon Soir, old thing! Cheerio! Chin-Chin, Nahpoo, Toodle-oo, Goodbye-ee.
If NuLab give in gracefully now and call an election they have a faint hope of regaining power after one or two parliaments. But if they cling to office up to the bitter end, and spend their last few months attempting to gerrymander the constitution, it's quite likely that the Labour Party will be completely destroyed in the ensuing upheaval. Some of the more reflective (i.e. calculating) Labour MPs and ministers must surely be starting to worry if they'll have any political future at all after Brown has led them to oblivion.
Shshhh whats that noise? oh its just blairs laughter.
what odds on snotty still being PM on monday?
Expect a deputation of backbenchers and party officials to certain Senior Cabinet Ministers and the Chief Whip imploring them to act before the Party Conference in September whilst there is still a party to lead.It's no longer about winning the next election it's now about salvaging the Party from electoral oblivion for a generation.
Milliband will wait until after the election is lost before mounting his challenge whilst backing Straw as "caretaker" leader and PM in the interim. The question is :-
a) Can they convince Gordon to go for the sake of the party and can they give him the alibi of "failing health" ?
b) Can they then withstand the pressure from the media and electorate not to call an election> Probably 50/50 as they know they will lose and a goodly number of the Cabinet(including Jack) will lose their seats although Miliband will still be ok even given these figures although the "fly in the ointment" is that so will Ed Balls and that Gordon may endorse him as his preferred candidate although perhaps that's not helpful to Balls.
Either way there will be panic and widespread despondency on Labour backbenches tonight
Economist cover - Gobshite in a nappy!
Now now, remember that this is barely enough to overcome labour's inbuilt advantage. Tories would still have a very narrow majority of, erm, 288 if these results held up. Using an adjusted poll to account for usual bonus to Tory votes - +3% Tories, -3% Lab - gives a barely survivable majority of... 366
Remember that there is no chance of Gordon losing the next election and the UK will not return a government led by a Toff like Cameron. Even if it were, it would most likely be a hung parliament with the government staying labour with Lib Dem support. My adjusted poll gives a fearsome PLP of 95 seats, which combined with the 18 LD would stymie any attempt by the Tories to enact policy.
Expect much higher taxes and more social programs as the UK is led by Gordon Brown for another 5 yeas on the might of 113 seats to the miniscule Tory rump of 508!
/sarc
BWHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!
Gordi is a wanker
http://isupporttheresistance.blogspot.com/2008/05/gordon-brown-loser.html
The YouGov poll is infuckincredible. Every chav, immigrant and teat-sucker in the public sector must now be voting Tory.
Are there enough seats on the government side for the Tories or will they sit in shifts? perhaps they could move the dispatch box and stuff over a few yards.
RIP another nokia!
"since records began" hahahahahaha
Soaraway Sun:
http://www.thesun.co.uk/sol/homepage/news/article1142543.ece
AS I SAID BEFORE AN OPINION POLL IS REALLY JUST THAT - A POLL OF OPINIONS - AND I THINK GORDON IS REALLY SPOT ON WHEN HE SAYS THAT THE HARDWORKING BRITISH ELECTORATE KNOW AND TRUST HIM FOR WHAT HE IS AND WILL UNDOUBTEDLY CONTINUE TO KEEP FAITH WITH NEW LABOUR THROUGH THESE TIMES OF INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC HARDSHIP AND WILL BE ENCOURAGED BY THE GOVERNMENT'S RENEWED FOCUS ON ISSUES THAT REALLY MATTER TO THE MAN OR WOMAN IN THE STREET - HEALTH, EDUCATION, AND KEEPING THE ECONOMY ON TRACK - TO BUILD A BETTER, AND STRONGER BRITAIN WHICH IS WHAT GORDON HAS BEEN DOING BEST FOR THE LAST ELEVEN YEARS.....
These Scotch, parasite, trot worms like Broon, Reid, Dougie Henderson (ever heard of him) et al were crawling all over student politics in yoonis like Glasgow, Strathclyde and Edinburgh in the seventies. They never seemed to spend any time at lectures but magically all attained spectacular grades.
It was an era that hatched - fervent socialists, conspiring with their marxist, fabian mentors to infiltrate and subvert the Labour party. The thickos there of course deferred to these creeps mainly because unlike most of the brothers they could string two words together.
The English electorate and media of course never got to know them in their gestation stage and elected the parasites as part of the job lot under, nice English, Oxbridge Bliar in 1997.
The rest is history. They have totally fucked the country up have enriched themselves in the process. Labour claimed at the time that it had purged its militant tendency. They had not. They had just morphed into respectability by then.
Too many people know McTwat as a loony student at university in Scotland. Maybe that is why he hates Scotland because so many in Scotland know and loathe him.
My advice - throw him in the Tower and let the ravens pick his other eye out.
Off-topic, but...
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/sci/tech/7390109.stm
Is BBC News trying to outdo The Sun's punning headlines?
Well it's headline news on ITV and Sky, but our 'much loved' state broadcaster doesn't think the poll worth reporting.
So what if the people do hate Labour, the BBC still loves them!
That rocking horse had better get a 10kg tub of industrial strength Vaseline in because something in No10 is going to get fucked and it will not be Sarah the Beard
There is a very easy way to put the man out of his misery. I have no idea why no-one has yet had the decency to do it.
Show the video of his hand tremor - asymmetric, low frequency, large amplitude, relatively proximal - to a handful of senior neurologists. There is no doubt they will all agree that it is indicative of a Parkinsonian disorder. Everything - the indecision, the inflexibility, the obsession with detail, the narrow focus, the intellectual inertia - is thereby explained. Publish their opinion and he will step down within a week.
The man is no longer an agent, but a patient, and we should treat him as such. We should ridicule him for his faults no more than we should ridicule a blind man for failing to see our punch, a deaf-mute for missing a joke, or a paraparetic for tripping in the street. It is time Gordon Brown was released into the hands of the medical profession his government has done so much to destroy.
Jesus.
Does anyone happen to know if a prime minister has ever committed suicide whilst still in office?
I understand a number of Labour MPs are making it quite clear they believe the next election is lost, but they don't want it to be held until the last minute possible so that they can keep their snouts in the trough.
tacitus,
Does this mean that he is wandering round the bunker, commanding non-existent divisions to stop the Russians, poping upstairs to award Iron Crosses to children?
Certainly we senior members of the Parilamentary Labour Party have every confidence not only in Gordon's own rude state of physical and mental health, but also in his ability and his steadfast determination to restore the economic and social health of the country as a whole, and it is only a very short matter of time before the illusory nature of David Cameron's shallow Tory opposition is exposed for what it is, and I can say wholeheartedly that I for one look forward to many more years of New Labour government under Gordodn's exemplary leadership......
its the end of the labour party... period... they are toast.
tony blair must be laughing his arse off.
If Bliar were still PM, the elections would still have been pretty bad and Gordo would have been manoeuvring to take over. After ten years, governments are naturally exhausted and disliked by the voters. The difference is that NuLabour deserve to be disliked. Student radicals not fit to be put in charge of a whelk stall have been running an advanced capitalist economy and laying up trouble for decades ahead.
"..nice English, Oxbridge Bliar in 1997"
Is that the same Scottish Blair who was born in Edinburgh.
Dont lay all the blame on Gordy, his only real mistake was allowing Blair to completely fuck up the country, ohh and err carrying on with the same policies.
A telling paragraph from the Soaraway Sun's poll:
Asked if voters would back Labour under a different leader, all of the suggested alternatives have a minus net reading.
... it confirms potential successors Ed Balls, David Miliband, Jack Straw, Harriet Harman, Andy Burnham, Alan Johnson and James Purnell would ALL make things even worse in voters’ eyes.
Weyhey!
Look, all this triumphalism worries me. I absolutely do not want another gloating march into No 10 by another crowd pleaser. Yes I want very much to this useless bunch of scheming wankers out of pwer, but if Cameron wins and marches into No. 10 like Bliar did, I will not be happy. I want the next Governemnt to just run nthe bloody country quietly professionally and sensibly and to stop all these bollocky initiatives and ideas and all the rest of it. We the people can sort out 99% of what we want and need. Please don't just don't get carried away with your success.
QT has just quoted the poll figures..
It is of course also important to focus on the warm and positive friendship that to my own personal knowledge Tony and Gordon have enjoyed for many years and continue to enjoy and I'm sure that Tony for one would want us all to be clear about his enthusiastic support for Gordon's leadership and that Gordon has his wholhearted backing and confidence in what are unquestionably turbulent economic times internationally but what the electorate (to whom the Government is of course listening closely) should be saying to themsleves at this time is, who has the proven track record to lead us through these times after an unparalelled period of financial growth and stability throughout Gordon's chancellorship.....
I mean, look..of course there are those people out there who'll look back to 1997 and the whole New Labour thing and...yeah, you'll say to yourselves, you know, Tony's government had it, and in came Gordon and kind of threw it away....
and I say to those people, and to Gordon at this time, let me say this to you:
Ha ha, ha ha ha ha ha ha ha, ha haaaaaa ha ha ha haaaaa ha HAAA HAAAAAA HAAAAAAAH HAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAH !!
It's almost 11pm and still not a word from the BBC. The government gets the lowest poll rating ever yet the Beeb UK news home page reports:
- ITV hit with record fine (lead story, of course)
- Bouncy castle boy wins damages
- "Respect atheists" says Cardinal
- Child web safety guide launched
- Is it time to establish a national coroner service?
- What is a kosher chicken?
Wankers
What is the point of Piers Morgan?
What a deluded tosser. It's all the media's fault apparently.
s-b 10:17 PM
Don't be dissuaded from breaking with convention on my account, Gordon dear child. I'll even arrange special dipensation for your disposal within the churchyard wall, if you fancy.
Those whom the gods wish to destroy they first make mad.
I hope they have someone on standby with an elephant gun and a straitjacket.
This is not going to be pretty.
Trenchard is right, it is. They will be reduced to 120 to 130 MPs, with no peerages to sell, no quango sinecures to hand out, and no way to raise money at all. There'll be no more politicised civil service to do their party hackwork, no grassroots to campaign for them, and very shortly no state broadcaster spinning lies on their behalf. So no way to get their stupid hate-filled opinions out there. And on top of all that they are 20 million squid in the hole and probably nearly if not actually technically insolvent.
None of their favoured Gordo successors will have a seat after the next election and there'll be no safe seat left for them anywhere. They won't be a legitimate party any more at all. They'll just be a regional lobby for monoglot Asian immigrants, the workshy, and people with sex problems, who live in northern England.
They will not survive opposition. It's over. They're gone.
The only way this could be better is it they were already polling third. And I think they soon will.
Anon at 1030
Yes, Hitler undoubtedly had manifest PD by the late thirties: the film recordings are unequivocal.
Loss of insight is not a feature of the disease, but an unusual tenacity in clinging to power one's deteriorating abilities can no longer justify may well be.
You'd almost feel sorry for him. Ah, well, that lasted a microsecond! Time for Gordo to write his "Collectd Works"! There were wankers like him all over the world in western universities in the 70s. Brown would have found his level writing for the student union papers. It's shocking that he got where he did with the acolytes saying how smart he was. Obsessive detail freak. I've know a few of them and they're not great company!
Guido, this site is starting to look like Comment is free or labourhome or whatever. yes, we know you can do politics, and that you generally 9tho not always) call things right. but the reason you are loved is that you occasionally have 'political totty' posts etc. i know it's great to pour shit on the rulers - and do continue - but some light relief in these dark times would be most welcome.
s-b 10:17 PM
Prime Minister,
Take the fused fertility of democratic destiny enrapt amongst
The crisp leaves of this ultra-mellow man's fine cigar released
Into sublime relief's heavenly union with the bumfuck futility
Of this duty-free ransack of your own...saltpetre...sincerity...
Then kindly retire slinking out into the bastard bog embezzlement
To seek the sweet meek-smiled reward of your...infernal...
Anti-social...arithmetical...salvation.
In The Independent: ITV asks Broon about his son - 'He replied: "He is doing well, and although he has got cystic fibrosis, he is really doing well and we are very hopeful... I want him to be a rugby player or a football player."'
A microcosm of his inappropriately prescriptive nature, or what?
the biggest laugh was alastair campbell yesterday saying brown needs to have a strategy. it was alastair campbell's strategy of building up gordon brown into a financial demi-god which is why labour are fucked in the first place.the lie is now transparent but campbell's collecting his pension, and growing fat on his diaries.
maybe alastair was not the genius people thought - just the biggest and best liar Labour could find to cover the bankruptcy of their ideas.
I know for a fact the owners of the chinese lestolant in his constituency want him to stay as PM. But who are the other 27.999999% alleged Labour voters? Nick Robinson, fo' sho', but Tom Watson can't have that many postal votes at his disposal, surely?
I understand that Liebour are now resorting to "Warwick II" with the trades unions in order to dig them out of the financial hole. The deal is you give us money and a list of demands and we implement them by stealth. However, Liebour ignored many of the demands in "Warwick I" probably because Tony only saw such an accommodation as a necessary evil. Gordo is further up shit creek, so we can look forward to the Unions effectively running the country for the next 2 years. I hope they repeat the success they had in the late 70's. Expect pressure for major hikes in higher rate tax, ceiling removed from NIC, plenty of anti-business legislation, the departure of many more companies to foreign shores and the stifling of what remains of enterprise. Cameron will have a hard job turning this around.
We Gordan may be listening, but most people, those with more than one brain cell....ARE NOT!
"Bliss was it that dawn to be alive, But to be Tory was very heaven. ..."
These two are right on the money about Snottie McTwat. Pity they can't be quite as accurate about everything else...
Of course there will always be a few blips on any upward curve that amounts to 11 magnificent years of steady and prudent financial and moral leadership. The ordinary people of this country are the backbone that drives the spirit of great statesmen like Tony and Gordon. It will all be clear come the next election when the hard working ordinary people will be with us. They are the ones our liberating, politically correct and free society have served most. Our record is clear Nulabour will remain in power for the foreseeable future under Gordon’s sagacious, breathtaking leadership.
On the subject of Broon and Toon, has anyone else read Mr Eugenides brilliant Failure To Launch piece ...
FOUND IT! No mention of YouGov poll on BBC news home page. But, go to UK Politics - 'Johnson to Meet New York's' Mayor' (well, where else would you expect to find the result of a domestic poll?). Penultimate paragraph is a brief entry, thus:- 'An opinion poll for the Sun newspaper suggests 49% of voters are backing ther Conservatives, compared with 23% for Labour'.
So BBC's faint praise is the equivalent of burying a couple of nondescript lines on page 23. Fucking disgraceful.
So Blair was better ?
Aren't people suckers for a grin and a 'winning' attitude !
Will the medics be looking for more involuntary shakes of the dear leader's arm during his increasing frequent appearances?
I am very surprised that Goron did not manage to stagger down to Dunwoody's funeral yesterday, the charitable would say he was busy, the uncharitble would say that he is merely a cunt who harbours a grudge devloped over a period of 25 years. Perhaps Gwyeneth Dunwoody mistook him for the drinks waiter at a long forgotten Labour conference.
Broon must be under great pressure over the question who leads Labour in Scotland? Hutton was almost right, Gordon is a fucking awful Sub-Prime Minister.
Where's Stanislav's latest thoughts on Bendy Wendy, Goron and leading Scotland out of the Union?
Perhaps he has consumed too much Polish Spirit after reading the Sun's opinion poll this morning.
Gordo's hand tremor looks more indicative of Tardive Dyskenesia to me...
Anonymous 10-30pm:
You've just reminded me of that wonderful mashup on Dizzy of the generals buying Hitler the wrong motorbike. Someone should re-mash that (or similar) for todays polls
I have had a report of the following people missing, presumed pissed. They are-
45govt
Stanislav
Fucking Delicious!
Bogeyman
Thick as Thieves
(Sorry, scrub the last one. That was just wishful thinking on my part)
If anyone hears from them could they please contact there nearest Police station that will be shut due to us being busy blogging bollocks all day long. I thank you.
The Labour Party needs to find a patsy with a twelve dollar Mannlicher-Carcano fast.
However, though it would be satisfying to see McTwat completely and utterly destroyed, hounded from the office he craved and schemed over for more than a decade in less than a year because he is just fucking shite, it would not save NuLabor. There is no way they could have yet another unelected Prime Minister, yet equally there is no way they could risk an election. They will stick with McTwat till the end, it's a suicide pact.
Look at this way: Tesstes and his ladyboy "wife" must, between them, screw at least £400,000 a year out of the taxpayer. If the General Election can be delayed a couple of years this pair of thieving cunts will be up almost a million quid. Given that they will never get another job, they will need that money to open up the tranvestite cabaret bar in Pattaya Beach they are always talking about. So there you have it. They will stay as long as possible to fill their boots. There won't be any lightbulbs or door handles in Number Ten when this gang of cunts gets kicked out, you mark my words.
The combination of inexplicable insomnia and depression is a frequent early warning of Parkinson's disease ...
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/life_and_style/health/expert_advice/article3446201.ece
1:35 AM
So decent of you to write a nice poem in my honour - most people these days reckon I should go fuck myself to blazes.
I for one salute the BBC's even-handedness, in giving some airing to issues affecting the ailing Tory party, while at the same time acknowledging New Labour's ongoing upward trend at the polls, as it cannot fail to do.
I think I can safely speak for Gordon, Harriet, Robin Cook and all of us at the upper end of the Party in acknowledging that this kind of Press freedom is one of the great and inviolable strengths of the country that the architects of New Labour have built in the early 21st century.
And who exactly is this "Bungalow" impersonator??
Hitler undoubtedly had manifest PD by the late thirties
Thought it was syphilis.
Dear Gordon:
Roses are red, violets are blue,
Alexander's fucked, and so are you.
Fucking delicious!
Have you every wondered if the Prime Minister of England, the Rt Hon Gordo MacTwat ever dares to read any of the blogs? Hundreds of eminent bloggers telling him to fuck off to a mental home every day.
Do you all realize what that would do to his fragile, narcissistic/sociopathic personality if he did? That's right he might fuck off back to jockland or worse - go berserk and waste half the cabinet. Keep it up.
Bye the way how is MacTwat's Gaffe Avoidance Officer Nicol Burdette doing? You never did find out how much the taxpayer was being shafted there did you Guido.
It is with the utmost respect and deference that I, a mere ordinary person, have dared to be impostor to one as great as you.
Shame on me!
I humbly beg your forgiveness and hope that somehow you grant, from within your inner-self the kindness of spirit, the mental legerdemain and humanity that hallmarks yourself so distinctly from others less worthy.
You will see Sir Geoff, that I am your great admirer and would so like to emulate your ability to not only to polish Brown turds but to evacuate them from the “Great One’ directly.
Never can your genuine talent be copied.
Sincerely,
Joe Bass
Among all the third-rate NuLab also-rans, Hoon really does stand out as the most cravenly hopeless (and undisguisedly disingenuous) shitbag of the lot, whose ascent from the back benches frankly defies belief, as well as calling the judgement of Blair's closest advisers into question right from the start, wouldn't you agree?
Dan King
I think the word 'disingenuous' says it all but the competetion at NuLabour is rabid to claim the title 'most cravenly hopeless'.
I would rate both Brown & B.Liar as more credit worthy candidates however in a closely run race you may well be right.
Cheers,
Joe B
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