Guy Fawkes' blog of parliamentary plots, rumours and conspiracy: May 2007
Advertise on this site

Thursday, May 31, 2007

Myners Infraction or Cover-Up?

Back in February this year Guido was pressing for explanations as to the Smith Institute's use of No. 11 Downing Street. The fact that the charity seemed to have only one beneficiary - Gordon Brown - meant that it was not only breaking the rules against political activity by a charity, it was actually functioning as a factional powerbase for Brownites. The staff and trustees were all allies of the Chancellor.

Political opponents in parliament had tabled parliamentary question after parliamentary question, all were met with stonewalling by the Treasury. Freedom of Information requests were ignored and went unanswered. Then came a breakthrough, the revelation that at a private meeting of the Smith Institute, attended by long list of Brownite allies in the media and the Labour party, the U.S. pollster Bob Shrum had advised on a strategy to defeat David Cameron's Conservatives based on his experience fighting the Republican party. The speech transcript was proof that the allegations were well founded.

Guido made a formal complaint under Section 8 of the Charities Act. The Charity Commission indicated that it would consider taking action. It leaked out before the official announcement was made that they would commence a formal inquiry. This led to a flurry of activity at the Smith Institute and HM Treasury. Their response was transparently choreographed in the knowledge that a statutory inquiry under the Charities Act would bring previously suppressed documents and information into the public domain.

After months of pressure it was suddenly revealed that nearly two hundred meetings had been held by the Smith Institute (free of charge) at No. 11 Downing Street with the permission of the Chancellor. Guido had been alleging that the use of the building effectively amounted to a subsidy of the Smith Institute's activities by HM Treasury. It was literally an abuse of office in all senses of the word.

In those circumstances if it were to be revealed that the Treasury had made direct payments to the Smith Institute, Gordon Brown's political front group, it would have been extremely damaging. The charge against Brown that he was corruptly financing his political ambitions would be hard to defend.

Amazingly a letter dated February 1, 2007, and written by Paul Myners was produced to explain away just such a payment. Myners is a Smith Institute trustee, a Treasury appointed veteran of various Gordon created quangos, who is considered a safe pair of hands by Brownites. He is also a wealthy donor to Gordon's leadership campaign.

It explained that two years previously the Treasury had paid the Smith Institute £11,750 to hold two seminars on behalf of the Myners Review into the financial sector for Gordon. It went on to claim (without explanation) that the Treasury had paid the money by mistake. That it was always Myners' intention to pay the cost himself. That he had now, over two years later, paid the sum personally.

If the Charity Commission investigation was not going to bring knowledge of this payment into the public domain, there is no doubt that the Treasury payment to the Smith Institute would have been kept well hidden with no danger of it being discovered or repaid.

The Myners letter is here. The explanations given by Myners are frankly incredible. He is expecting us to believe that the Smith Institute accidentally invoiced HM Treasury and that HM Treasury accidentally paid the invoice. We are asked to believe that suddenly two years later he decided to pay the bill having told his "team that I would be happy to personally contribute some or all of the costs of the seminars". But he didn't actually do it at the time, did he?

Why the Two Year Interval?

Could it be that the imminent and inevitable exposure of the payment by HM Treasury to the Smith Institute during the course of the Charity Commission's investigation was the real and only reason the payment was now refunded by Myners to the Treasury? It was a plain and simple cover up - long after the event - by Myners to help his friend Gordon Brown out of a politically difficult situation.

Informed Sources?

Isn't today the day that the Sun's George Pascoe-Watson revealed on the front-page that Blair would leave office? "ITS MAY 31" ran the headline.

Not quite...

Shadow Minister Grieve Backs Grammar Schools

The London Evening Standard is reporting that Dominic Grieve, the shadow Attorney General, has gone over the top into no-mans-land over grammar schools. The key phrase in an otherwise on message interview with his local paper is
"We must also ensure that if further grammar or secondary schools are needed they can be supplied within the county."
Cameroonie policy is no new grammar schools. This could be sticky for Grieve. The grassroots are not wearing this policy change, although bizarrely ConservativeHome.Com "the unofficial home of the grassroots" says it is officially burying the subject today. Suspect they will be digging it up again tomorrow...

UPDATE :
Sticky for Team Cameron it turns out. The Etonians appear to be for turning.

News of the Dave

The Guidoisation of politics continues with news of the appointment of Andy Coulson*, formerly editor of the News of the Screws, to become the new propaganda chief for Dave. He'll bring a more robust tabloid headline sensitive approach that is more likely to connect with people than a Letwin speech.

Guido suspects this will signal a much needed change in the tone of Tory propaganda. Trying, as Osborne recently did, to frame Gordon Brown as a leftie won't work. The approach to Gordon has to chime in with the truth that people instinctively sense. He is an unpleasant, difficult to work with, psychologically flawed, malevolent, grudge-bearing control freak. These aspects of his character are even more of a negative than his tax and spend, big government, micro-managing policies. Going with this grain of truth will resonate popularly.

The Cameroonies are set against negatively attacking Gordon's character and personality. They want to concentrate on policy and present an optimistic "change" agenda. Ordinary people are not interested in the details of policy wonkery, they just think there is something creepy about Gordon. Tapping into and co-opting that sense of unease is a key component of a comprehensive strategy to defeat Brown. If Coulson can navigate the somewhat dysfunctional CCHQ environment, he might be the man to formulate and project that media strategy. Once Gordon takes over his people will aggressively target Cameron with a negative class-based attack. To borrow a cricketing metaphor; the Tories will need to bowl bodyline. Coulson is a player, not a gentlemen, he could be their Larwood, they have far too many Jardines already.

UPDATE :
Benedict Brogan reckons Andy is on £400,000-a-year.

*Dale got the scoop on the Dead-Tree-Press.

Editorial Advisory : 17:00 GMT Today

The whole Wonks-on-the-Taxpayer scam is much more widespread than this morning's Times story reveals. Paul Myners is not only a donor to Brown's coronation campaign, he was central to a less than credible cover-up of Treasury payments to the Smith Institute. Doubt he will be plain "Mr" Myners after Brown gets control of the honours list...

Full story this evening.

Wednesday, May 30, 2007

Help Hain!

Desperate times call for desperate measures...
From Claire Lawson

URGENT

Dear all,

This is very urgent indeed - please can everyone make sure we
have as many votes as possible for Peter on the Newsnight
website. We're currently getting squeezed to last.

Please vote now before the poll closes....

I'll be in touch soon,

Many thanks,
Claire
Tan-Fans better get down the bookies and put a few quid on as well to shorten his long odds. The punters think at 19/1 Hain is going to lose badly.

Downing Street Sore Losers Ignore Scotland

Tony Blair has congratulated Rhodri Morgan in Wales. The Queen even went to Scotland to meet and greet the new Scottish First Minister. The Irish PM, Bertie Ahern, has found time out from negotiating his coalition to also congratulate Alex Salmond.

Gordon, ever the sore loser, has not had the grace to congratulate his winning opponent. So his own home constituency is no longer in Labour hands, his own country is no longer in Labour hands for the first time in half-a-century, but is that any reason to be so grumpy and graceless? He will have to work with the SNP when he is PM. Whatever happened to his new politics, humbly listening to the people?

Video report on GuyNews.TV

Poor the Blears

Her campaign HQ phone lines have been down for two days. It is all about organisation...

UPDATE : She appears to also have forgotten to put 50p in the bandwith meter or something. Dizzy has noticed that her videos are blanked out. Pull yourself together.

Brown's "Engagement" Agenda

Jackie Ashley has a gushing interview with Gordon in the Guardian this morning where we learn that he really loves being called Prime Minister* and that
"Brown believes the days of political parties as 'small organisations of people who are accused of talking to themselves' are over. In future, constituency parties will become local hubs, building links with other networks and groups, and using new technology to reach out way beyond their usual supporters... There are so many different forms of communication - writing, phoning, the internet - at the moment we're not doing enough to keep people informed and to show people that when they have a view, we're prepared to listen to them."
Over at GordonBrown.Org, free from civil service restrictions, and even the old clunking party bureaucracy, he shows us the actual proof of the sincerity of his internet "engagement agenda".

How is he doing at keeping people informed about his exciting campaign-hub-network-thingy for Britain? Well their feeble copy of the original Where's Gordon? has only 4 reports of his whereabouts in 20 days, the original managed daily updates. The thousands of votes for a discussion on the NHS are ignored, there is no discussion. The whole site is as dead as wooden rocking horse, it is an ex-listening, ex-campaigning website. His whole "engaging online" guff is all bullshit, he doesn't need to win votes so the whole need to engage is just tiresome. Guido knows WebCameron and WebGordon is no WebCameron.

Gordon now has no need to listen, no need to engage, no need to win a mandate from his party or the wider electorate. He will assume power and we will just have to lump it.

*In under a month the preciousss will be his, the sun will be darkened across the land and the English will be cursed with a new Scottish tyranny. Probably.

Tuesday, May 29, 2007

Punting on Paxo v the Number Two Wannabees

Guido has loaded up his Betfair account with cash in the hope that the Newsnight debate could be decisive one way or another in this race. Will try to figure not the merit of the arguments, not even how voters in the Labour electoral college will respond, but how other gamblers will interpret events. Despite having explained this many times, gambling on a beauty contest (like this) is not about figuring out who is the prettiest girl, but who the judges will think is the prettiest girl. Good luck..

Intros hardly move the market.

Head-to-head is more of a side-by-side format.

Lots of flannel on the Iraq issue.

Promises from Harman of an end to spin.

No real move in the betting markets, Paxo demands yes/no answers. Cruddas says no to Trident and charitable schools. So that stakes him out on the left.

Alan Johnson and Blears appear to accept the post-Thatcher Blairite settlement.

Punters start to move against Hain. Johnson closes on Benn.

Paxo bows out with "who would vote for if you weren't running?" Only Cruddas gives a straight answer (Blears Harman).

ENDS

Let the spinning begin...

Benn Backed by International Capitalism

Guido is still reeling from the news that the grandson of the socialist Viscount Stansgate has a large portfolio of stock market investments. Now he discovers that his campaign is backed by the profiteering of international capital. Hedge fund manager Gilad Hayeem of Lehman Brothers backed Marble Bar Asset Management (Cayman) has contributed £5,000 to Hilary Benn's campaign (slogan "voice of the grassroots"). Tony Benn wanted to nationalise top banks, his son takes campaign donations from them.

Guido can personally vouch for the rum nature of these hedgie types. Still trying to figure out if this is a case of a capitalist financing the rope to hang himself, or of a socialist selling out. With a billion dollars under management Gilad can spare the cash. However, how idealistic Benn backers will view his campaign being financed indirectly by investors in Erongo Energy - a uranium miner in Namibia with interests in oil - is hard to say. All ethical presumably...

A Rare Thing

When he heard that Graham Brady had resigned over Tory grammar school policy and that he had four grammar schools in his consituency, he presumed it was a marginal seat and that this was a move to boost his local support. Checking, Guido sees he tripled his majority at the last election, after nearly doubling it the election before. Guido can be too cynical.

Resigning on a point of principle and in the interests of his constitutents' children? Halting his front-bench career? Guido wonders if Graham Brady is really cut out for modern politics...

Why Benn has Become Favourite

Guido understands that Benn has 29 constituency nominations sewn up so far, nearly double his nearest rival. Those that think the union bosses could swing it for Johnson forget that the affiliated socialist societies will probably go the same way as the constituencies. Still a chance he could get whacked by Paxo on Newsnight later...

Hodge "Hurt" by Lebensraum Claims

Picture Credit : Spank Daley on Popbitch

One Rule For Etonians, Another Rule for Grammarians

Guido is sure that when Boris publicly disagreed with party policy and went off-message, Dave was challenged to sack him, he retorted that the Conservatives "welcomed debate" and "were not control freaks like New Labour" etcetera. Dave isn't welcoming policy debate from Graham Brady, he is sacking him.

He not only has the wrong view on schools, he went to the wrong school..

Number Twos on Newsnight

In what frankly, even by political anorak standards, is a boring campaign so far, tonight offers the prospect of some interest as they go face-to-face tonight on Newsnight.

Benn is now favourite, followed by Johnson. Punters make the rest also rans. Guido has a little money on Harman with an outside chance...

Monday, May 28, 2007

Rich & Mark's Monday Morning View

Mail on Sunday : Fixated Threat Assessment Centre hunts mentally unstable potential killers and stalkers with a fixation against public figures.

Friday, May 25, 2007

Gordon Says "You Decide", He'll Ignore

Gordon Brown launched his website with a promise of a new kind of politics, humble and listening. All of this was a mere three weeks ago.

"You Decide" what his website will discuss. New politics! Open! Listening! Interactivity! Digital not Analogue! Yeah Groovy! This week thousands voted to discuss "The NHS". Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday and finally today Friday - Guido checked for the discussion.

Nothing but tumbleweed blew across the site.

Even checked out Oona's blog on the site "following Gordon around the country listening to the people". Nothing there either, she last mentioned the NHS on May 12.

Guido called up the campaign press office:
Guido Fawkes "Where is the discussion this week about the NHS?"
Press Officer "Errr, errm, I only deal with the website"
GF "Yes, this is a question about the website"
PO "Can I get Tony McElroy to call you back"
GF "Thanks"
If they start a "You Decide" discussion this weekend it would still be this week, technically...

Friday Caption Contest (Simple Reds Edition)

UPDATE : "Holding back the Blears" tickled Guido..

Cheeky Question for the Cheeky Chappie

Overlooked in the rumpus about Alan Johnson, on Question Time last night, attacking Maggie Hodge over her "racialising housing" stance, was an unanswered question. Towards the end of the show the discussion turned towards how Prescott had disgraced the office of the DPM. Most of the panel and the audience thought he had diminished the office of DPM. Johnson loyally defended Prezza. Someone asked rhetorically of the good looking, eyes sparkling, not unattractive to women, candidate for Prezza's job, "if he won, would he shag his secretary?" Johnson grimaced without replying. It was a rhetorical question, wasn't it?

Thursday, May 24, 2007

What the People Really Want to Know

The Guidoisation of democracy continues apace: this is an interesting nugget of research into what people are actually searching to find out about our political leaders.

Gordon Brown and his plans for tax credits? Cameron's carbon capping agenda? Not a chance. They really want to know about what Guido gives 'em. What people are searching to find out about Gordon is particularly interesting. "The Legend" is now a mainstream subject of discourse down the pub. Not just down the Red Lion on Whitehall, but in Glasgow boozers, City bars, Home Counties village pubs as well, they speculate and they wonder. Then they go home and Google...

The top search terms reveal the public is keen to find out about subjects very different to those selected by the mainstream media. Paxman, Sir Michael White et al sneer that, for example, Guido prioritises distributing video evidence of Gordon's propensity to pick his nose, but given the popularity of that over interest in Gordon's plans for constitutional reform, who is more in touch with the popular pulse? According to industry data, blogs are now more widely read than than online newspapers. Think about what that implies.

Incidentally "Gordon the Bogeyman" is being re-edited to be made suitable for mobile phones as a commercially sponsored free download soon. People will download it on to their phones, and show it to their mates down the pub for a laugh. Guido confidently predicts it will be one of the all time most downloaded mobile videos in the UK.

GuyNews : Irish Elections

It is election day in Ireland today. The Green Party are expected to do well, in small part due to this rather good advert. The small Progressive Democrat party, according to some, is going to get wiped out. Guido thinks they will survive.

See it on GuyNews.TV.

Workers Soviet Council Formed at CCHQ

Nominations for officers of the CCHQ Staff Association close on Friday. The inaugral meeting will be on June 1st.

Soviet-style it will be a party approved union, organising picnics and such-like. Millbank Militant demands at the AGM are expected to include the provision of moisturiser in the men's loos. Suspect the CCHQ-SA will not be affiliating to the TUC...

Who are Ruth Turner's Solicitors?

Just chasing up something, having difficulty finding out the name of the firm representing poor Ruth. Do any of you many loafing lawyers happen to know?

Wednesday, May 23, 2007

Hefferlump Shot

Simon Heffer is no longer going to edit the comment pages at the Torygraph. There will be cheering in Notting Hill tonight...

UPDATE :
A co-conspirator points out that this is something like the eighth comment editor in three years.

Hat-tip: Image stolen from B3ta

LibDems Call for End to Anti-Catholic Bigotry

LibDem equality spokesperson, Lorely Burt, is today calling for an end to discrimination against Catholics. She therefore rises in my estimation considerably (am pretty certain she also put her card behind the bar one night after an event Guido attended, it is all a bit vague).

"Before he steps down, Tony Blair should consider removing this institutional discrimination. After all, if reports are to believed, he may have a rather more personal interest in Catholic affairs when he leaves No. 10; he should act whilst he still has the chance." Hmm.

Remember, remember...

Parliamentary Women's Lobby

Guido is amused by the deliberations of Kitty Donaldson's Parliamentary Women's Lobby. It was set up in 1999 as a dining club to allow political figures to meet women political reporters. Anyway Kitty wanted to formalise things with a constitution requiring declarations of interest and a code of conduct (not about starting with cutlery from the outside).

The whole thing has reached a bit of an impasse after a rumpus over the code of conduct. Frantic emails between all members followed and culminated in the suggestion that if Gordon Brown announced at the PWL he was taking Britain into the Euro, they would all have to agree not to report on it for an hour so Kitty could settle the bill. Madness.

A number of more "senior" women journos have had enough and think the whole thing has got rather silly. No-one else is standing against the proposed chairman and vice-chairman, mainly because they say they have got better things to do. As one of them put it: "I answer to my newsdesk not the PWL".

P.S. Please don't be misogynistic in the comments, Melissa Kite will only recycle the material for another article.

Seriously Incompetent?

Iain is being a little unfair on the blessed Ruth citing her as potentially Labour's Most Incompetent Minister.

Firstly Mrs Balls (Yvette Cooper) deserves most of the opprobrium for the HIPs mess and there is a competitive field of choices in the ministerial incompetence stakes. Prezza has messed up more policies in his time than most. Hewitt is hardly the best of the bunch, Des Browne sends men to die for lack of equipment and lack of any comprehensible strategic or even credible tactical plan in Afghanistan.

Des Browne gets Guido's vote, his incompetence is the most serious. It is wasting the lives of British soldiers...

Tuesday, May 22, 2007

Harman 7/1? Worth a Punt

Betfair has finally opened up a market on who will be the Labour number two - smart move guys, but the trading would have been more choppy earlier. Alan Johnson is favourite, Hilary Benn is behind him 5/2 and Harman is next at 7/1.

Blears, Cruddas and Hain follow up in that order at long odds. Guido suspects it could be that the favourite wins, but has nevertheless put a few quid on Harman at what looks like good value. Suspicious number of Brownites backed her nomination...

Floreat Etona

New Labour was said to be a clique or a party within a party, is Team Cameron an Etonian party within a party?

David Cameron Lord de Mauley Geoffrey Clifton-Brown Lord Luke
Oliver Letwin Lord Cope of Berkeley Bill Wiggin Lord Astor of Hever
Hugo Swire Lord Glentoran Viscount Bridgeman Viscount Astor
Boris Johnson Lord Skelmersdale


This is the Eton faction on the frontbench. But look around CCHQ and the shadow team's young advisers, a suspicious number of well groomed, well spoken and well mannered types. Can we out some of the Team Eton back-room boys in the comments please?

UPDATE : Candidates names as well please. Off to a good start in no time...

Grammar School Row Down to Cack-Handed Willets

As far as Guido can tell this whole "new" grammar school policy row is bogus. The policy hasn't changed since a speech on education Dave delivered a year ago. What is new is Willetts - he's simply not up to front line political combat. He framed the debate in a way that created confusion and maximised opposition - and pulled Dave into a fight he wasn't particularly looking for.

Sources assure Guido that those speculating that this is a faux-row to get Gordon off the front-page are mistaken, it is cack-handed presentation of the policy which has given irreconcilable activists a stick to beat Dave with. This is no carefully contrived Clause-4 moment.

Nevertheless it has still, amazingly, given Team Cameron some benefits. Three in fact:
  • Dave appears strong and willing to stick to a position that angers some people, (think Kinnock taking on Militant, so not a slimy pleaser).
  • The "Tories have changed" narrative is reinforced.
  • Rather amazingly, the Tories, rather than Brown, are dominating the political agenda less than a week after he became PM-elect.
The policy is hardly new, go back to April 4, 2006 and read this Cameron speech;
"The task is simple - to create more good school places. I intend to lead the debate on improving quality and standards in all our schools. That's why I won't be distracted by calls to create a few new grammar schools. My focus is on the need to develop good local schools."
Willets, for all his supposed brains, is really not up to selling policy change to the Conservative activist base. Something that will no doubt be remembered come the reshuffle...

Gordon intervening in the row would never have happened under the old Alastair Campbell media grid regime. It means the Tories are setting the news agenda to which the PM-in-waiting has responded, with Cameron getting an opportunity to emphasise the changing nature of the Tories to middle class LibDem voters.

Monday, May 21, 2007

Friday Caption Contest (Washington, Late Edition)

Yes it isn't Friday (when this was supposed to go up to coincide with Tony's visit to Dubya*). There were, errm, technical problems.

What should have been on the placards?

*Incidentally, wasn't that Ruth Turner chatting animatedly to the POTUS in shot on Newsnight?

Rich & Mark's Monday Morning View

Sunday Times Police Hunt Arms Trail in Downing Street

Thursday, May 17, 2007

Who Didn't Kow-Tow to Gordon?

Only a few malcontents on the right and the usual suspects on the left. Clarke, Hoey and Frank Field stand out. Croydonian has compiled the full list.

Where Does Dave Find His Campaigners?

So when you need a replacement to run WebCameron where do you advertise? Obviously someone ideologically sympatico is required to run an enthusiastic hard-hitting campaign. So advertise in the Guardian. Doh!

World Bank Sleaze Allegations Swamp Gordon's Chief-of-Staff

Gordon Brown is expected to recall his former private secretary from Washington, where he serves as as an executive director at both the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank, to become his chief-of-staff. The Wall Street Journal is reporting this morning that Tom Scholar, like Paul Wolfowitz, is accused of abusing his position to assist a girlfriend get a promotion.

He is accused of violating the Bank's Staff Rules and the Board's Standards of Conduct, like Wolfowitz, Scholar is said to have a romantic relationship with a female employee at the World Bank. Scholar has never officially disclosed this relationship even though it clearly interferes with his oversight responsibilities as a Board member. He is accused of directly intervening to further the woman's career. He is not taking calls and has gone to ground.

Looks like Jonathan Powell's successor will follow in his high ethical standards...