CCHQ's Ming Dilemma
Ming's overwhelmingly negative poll ratings present Tory strategists in CCHQ with a dilemma, they would rather face a Ming led Liberal Democrat party than a Huhne, or worse still, a Clegg led party. However the fear is that in the event of a hung parliament Ming would be much more sympathetic to keeping Gordon in Downing Street than his younger rivals.The preferred scenario is that Ming leads the LibDems to a poor showing in the General Election and falls on his sword to be succeeded by an Orange booker with whom Cameron can do business. The risk is he limps into coalition with Gordon. Don't expect any concerted Tory attacks on Ming in the near term, the last thing they want is him replaced.
UPDATE : To clarify, the above graph is derived from the number of respondents positively disposed towards Ming minus those negative towards Ming. He managed a positive rating only immediately after becoming leader.
33 comments:
I thought I'd surfed onto ConHome with all this serious stuff.
I thought Guido gossiped, Father Tim moralised and Iain presented the party line?
Are you going to the launch of Free Spirits?
What will his Lib-Dem rivals put in his Cocoa. A drop more of the Kennedy removal fluid?
Surely you mean Ming falls on sword to be replaced by the Orange-one, who has failed in the Labour Deputy Leadership race and cannot stomach the loss of face, or the depatch to backbenches as gordo hates him..
Yes, that's right, I give you Mr Peter Hain MP, Esq,.
"I thought Guido gossiped, Father Tim moralised and Iain presented the party line?"
And Chad?
And Chad?
Talks crap mainly! ;-)
I wonder if I should hope Ming *does* keep Gordon in Downing Street, because at the election after that the Lib-Lab coalition would lose, and the Lib Dems would be tarred with all Labour's failings.
Sorry OT, but would anyone down in Sussex/South East like to tell Brown what you think of him in Brighton this Sunday (that's if he has the bottle to come out of hiding)
Let's put this odious bastard on the rack for once.
Brown to face house price demo
Press Association
Tuesday May 8, 2007
Guardian Unlimited
Frustrated first-time buyers are planning to upstage Gordon Brown at a festival in a bid to highlight the negative impact of spiralling house prices.
Campaigners from web-based group Priced Out will picket the chancellor when he speaks at the Dome concert hall as part of the Brighton Festival on Sunday......
http://money.guardian.co.uk/houseprices/story/0,,2074647,00.html
Reminds me of the NuLab situation with Mr Hague - realised he was onto a hiding but needed to keep him in power to fend off a potentially greater challenge from Portillo. That sniper Lance Price made a few comments about this issue in his diaries.
I see Macavity Brown has made it onto Wikipedia:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Macavity
Anon @ 11:25 has it right. If we weren't to have a majority Conservative government, then I would prefer to see Ming stay for now. Not for doing deals with, but so that a failed Lib/Lab coalition can take both Lib & Lab down in an early 2011/2012 general election.
I see Macavity Brown has made it onto Wikipedia:
His spouse is listed as Julian Clarey
You never know- Ming might kark it before the next election! I think Huhne (patronising and as much personality as a cardboard box) and Clegg (wetter than the Pacific)are 'no-hopers'. I'd be more bothered by Evan Harris- a relatively sane and 'on the level' LDem.
In some ways I like Evan Harris, he's a free speech fundamentalist, a passionate secularist and an incredibly bright guy... but I really don't think he's close to having the personality, temperament or profile to be a party leader.
The fuckers don't have the balls to do anything about Ming.
Like all Liberals they will moan, groan and whinge about it like a toddler who needs their bottom wiping and (guess what?) they'll do fuck all about it.
It took them three years to pluck up the bottle (phwnar! phwnar!) to get rid of Kennedy. They'll spend another 3 years muttering about Ming like a bunch of old grannies, maybe throwing a wet flannel in his direction now and again in private, but that's about fucking it.
Huhne and Clegg might think they'd be better at being shat on by Cameron (No Oaten jokes, please) but they're just as big a couple of faggots as the rest of them.
They're no more likely to get rid of Ming than Sarah Teather is likely to get a good porking from Simon "straight choice" Hughes.
Twats.
It's about time we had some young Totty running a Political Party.
The Lib Dems wouldn't go far wrong with Julia Goldsworthy.
Sorry to sound a bit naive like but according to wikipedia Gordon Brown is married to Julian Clarey.
Is this right? I thought this was the type of thing the LibDems specialised in?
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gordon_Brown
"more vulgar than a vulcans vulva" your name is so funny! Your friends must think you a very funny person indeed. Well done.
anonymous 1:16
Why thankyou!
Yes, you're right. My friends *do* find me hilarious. That's cause I'm a very funny guy.
I find your name very funny too ;-)
2:01 PM
my name's funnier
Ming seemed quite popular in Eastbourne last week where he's probably thought of as still young.
my name's fucking shite.
my name's a palindrome
all very boring. Cheer yourself up, go back to where's gordon, nonymong 9:22
There is still 1 nulab holdout out there, dreaming of gordon's thousand year reich !
It's now five days since Gordon disappeared.
Has anyone reported him missing to the police yet?
fucking shite 2:31 PM
that is funny...
coz my name's fucking shite too
a palindrome 2:48 PM
tit!
If Tory strategists really feel they have a dilemma they dont deserve to be in post.
Perhaps they should look for their first real job.
If Ming the dessicated is replaced & for instance Nick Clegg takes over, the tories will be firmly back in the mid 30's in popular support, perhaps worse.
A hung parliament in which Brown had to do deals with other parties will have so many fraqcture lines & stresses it wouldnt last long.
He cant do deals with his own party.
Once a Labour/Lib Dem alliance failed maybe 18/24 months in, I believe voters would elect the Tories with a majority this time.
When you've never done anything worthwhile for a living, except fret over opinion polls, sometimes you can't see the wood for the tress.
A change of Lib Dem leader would be extremely damaging for Cameron, assuming it's not another bender with a secret that is.
Why doesn't Cameron lend the Liberals John Bercow ?
Its all so simple, heres my theory, call me dave should follow Ming the memoryless around till he has an altzhiemers blank spell again then he should convince ming that he is a tory, that should be easy BUT call me dave would fuck it up and convince himself he is a libdem!
I've said it before and I'll say it again, mainly because it's true: Charlie was drunk, but he could be (relatively) sober in the morning. Ming is senile.
Vulcan you and your Vulva should audition for a lead role in The Vagina Monologues. Star quality emanating from your privates. You are welcome to a free internal anytime.
I switched on Radio 4 just as Ming was commenting on the local election results, and I genuinely thought they'd got a Glaswegian OAP-with-Alzheimers to mutter a rambling vox pop reaction to fill time until the next trail for Daphne du Maurier.
(Sorry, Alzheimer has just phoned and told me they now call it 'Ming's Disease' round their way.)
I've come here to escape the idiots on Lib Dem Voice. I now understand how the tories must have felt for the last ten years. Whilst I broadly agree with the Liberal approach/philosophy (*braces for attack*), I can't help but despair at their inability to organise the proverbial piss up in a brewery... or even a real piss up in a brewery; that'd be quite nice, we should get Charles Kennedy on it... Please somebody get rid of Ming!!!
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